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07/12/2021
Unifying the effective reproduction number, incidence, and prevalence under a stochastic age-dependent branching process
Renewal equations are a popular approach used in modelling the number of...
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02/22/2021
Gaussian Process Nowcasting: Application to COVID-19 Mortality Reporting
Updating observations of a signal due to the delays in the measurement p...
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09/08/2020
Simulating normalising constants with referenced thermodynamic integration: application to COVID-19 model selection
Model selection is a fundamental part of Bayesian statistical inference;...
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07/13/2020
A unified machine learning approach to time series forecasting applied to demand at emergency departments
There were 25.6 million attendances at Emergency Departments (EDs) in En...
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06/30/2020
On the derivation of the renewal equation from an age-dependent branching process: an epidemic modelling perspective
Renewal processes are a popular approach used in modelling infectious di...
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04/23/2020