Inferring Risks of Coronavirus Transmission from Community Household Data

04/09/2021
by   Thomas House, et al.
0

The response of many governments to the COVID-19 pandemic has involved measures to control within- and between-household transmission, providing motivation to improve understanding of the absolute and relative risks in these contexts. Here, we perform exploratory, residual-based, and transmission-dynamic household analysis of the Office for National Statistics (ONS) COVID-19 Infection Survey (CIS) data from 26 April 2020 to 8 March 2021 in England. This provides evidence for: (i) temporally varying rates of introduction of infection into households broadly following the trajectory of the overall epidemic; (ii) Susceptible-Infectious Transmission Probabilities (SITPs) of within-household transmission in the 15-35 emergence of the B.1.1.7 variant, being around 50 households; (iv) significantly (in the range 25-300 infection into the household for workers in patient-facing roles; (v) increased risk for secondary school-age children of bringing the infection into the household when schools are open (in the range 64-235 primary school-age children of bringing the infection into the household when schools were open in late autumn 2020 (around 40

READ FULL TEXT

Please sign up or login with your details

Forgot password? Click here to reset