Vectorized Uncertainty Propagation and Input Probability Sensitivity Analysis

08/29/2019
by   Kevin Vanslette, et al.
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In this article we construct a theoretical and computational process for assessing Input Probability Sensitivity Analysis (IPSA) using a Graphics Processing Unit (GPU) enabled technique called Vectorized Uncertainty Propagation (VUP). VUP propagates probability distributions through a parametric computational model in a way that's computational time complexity grows sublinearly in the number of distinct propagated input probability distributions. VUP can therefore be used to efficiently implement IPSA, which estimates a model's probabilistic sensitivity to measurement and parametric uncertainty over each relevant measurement location. Theory and simulation illustrate the effectiveness of these methods.

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