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02/24/2022
Comparison of Combination Methods to Create Calibrated Ensemble Forecasts for Seasonal Influenza in the U.S
The characteristics of influenza seasons varies substantially from year ...
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01/28/2022
Comparing trained and untrained probabilistic ensemble forecasts of COVID-19 cases and deaths in the United States
The U.S. COVID-19 Forecast Hub aggregates forecasts of the short-term bu...
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06/06/2020
The Zoltar forecast archive: a tool to facilitate standardization and storage of interdisciplinary prediction research
Forecasting has emerged as an important component of informed, data-driv...
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05/29/2020
Infectious Disease Forecasting for Public Health
Forecasting transmission of infectious diseases, especially for vector-b...
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05/26/2020
Evaluating epidemic forecasts in an interval format
For practical reasons, many forecasts of case, hospitalization and death...
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12/24/2019
Aggregating predictions from experts: a scoping review of statistical methods, experiments, and applications
Forecasts support decision making in a variety of applications. Statisti...
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10/24/2019
The covariate-adjusted residual estimator and its use in both randomized trials and observational settings
We often seek to estimate the causal effect of an exposure on a particul...
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07/26/2019
Adaptively stacking ensembles for influenza forecasting with incomplete data
Seasonal influenza infects between 10 and 50 million people in the Unite...
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03/31/2017