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04/24/2023
Autonomous Intelligent Cyber-defense Agent: Introduction and Overview
This chapter introduces the concept of Autonomous Intelligent Cyber-defe...
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03/28/2023
Quantitative Measurement of Cyber Resilience: Modeling and Experimentation
Cyber resilience is the ability of a system to resist and recover from a...
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02/15/2023
An Experimentation Infrastructure for Quantitative Measurements of Cyber Resilience
The vulnerability of cyber-physical systems to cyber attack is well know...
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02/09/2023
Piecewise Linear and Stochastic Models for the Analysis of Cyber Resilience
We model a vehicle equipped with an autonomous cyber-defense system in a...
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02/09/2023
Mathematical Modeling of Cyber Resilience
We identify quantitative characteristics of responses to cyber compromis...
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01/26/2022
Cyber Resilience: by Design or by Intervention?
The term "cyber resilience by design" is growing in popularity. Here, by...
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01/26/2022
Autonomous Cyber Defense Introduces Risk: Can We Manage the Risk?
From denial-of-service attacks to spreading of ransomware or other malwa...
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01/26/2022
Cybertrust: From Explainable to Actionable and Interpretable AI (AI2)
To benefit from AI advances, users and operators of AI systems must have...
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01/26/2022
Doers, not Watchers: Intelligent Autonomous Agents are a Path to Cyber Resilience
Today's cyber defense tools are mostly watchers. They are not active doe...
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10/21/2021
On games and simulators as a platform for development of artificial intelligence for command and control
Games and simulators can be a valuable platform to execute complex multi...
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02/18/2021
To Improve Cyber Resilience, Measure It
We are not very good at measuring – rigorously and quantitatively – the ...
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01/31/2021
How to Measure Cyber Resilience of an Autonomous Agent: Approaches and Challenges
Several approaches have been used to assess the performance of cyberphys...
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11/25/2019
When Autonomous Intelligent Goodware will Fight Autonomous Intelligent Malware: A Possible Future of Cyber Defense
In the coming years, the future of military combat will include, on one ...
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08/09/2019
Discovering a Regularity: the Case of An 800-year Law of Advances in Small-Arms Technologies
Considering a broad family of technologies where a measure of performanc...
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05/13/2019
Features and Operation of an Autonomous Agent for Cyber Defense
An ever increasing number of battlefield devices that are capable of col...
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02/26/2019
Intelligent Autonomous Things on the Battlefield
Numerous, artificially intelligent, networked things will populate the b...
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01/14/2019
Statistical Models for the Number of Successful Cyber Intrusions
We propose several generalized linear models (GLMs) to predict the numbe...
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12/18/2018
Intelligent Autonomous Agents are Key to Cyber Defense of the Future Army Networks
Intelligent autonomous agents will be widely present on the battlefield ...
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09/28/2018
Game-Theoretic Model and Experimental Investigation of Cyber Wargaming
We demonstrate that game-theoretic calculations serve as a useful tool f...
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07/22/2018
Long-Term Forecasts of Military Technologies for a 20-30 Year Horizon: An Empirical Assessment of Accuracy
During the 1990s, while exploring the impact of the collapse of the Sovi...
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06/21/2018
Towards a Reconceptualisation of Cyber Risk: An Empirical and Ontological Study
The prominence and use of the concept of cyber risk has been rising in r...
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06/07/2018
Fundamental Concepts of Cyber Resilience: Introduction and Overview
Given the rapid evolution of threats to cyber systems, new management ap...
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06/07/2018
Towards an Active, Autonomous and Intelligent Cyber Defense of Military Systems: the NATO AICA Reference Architecture
Within the future Global Information Grid, complex massively interconnec...
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04/20/2018
Approaches to Enhancing Cyber Resilience: Report of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) Workshop IST-153
This report summarizes the discussions and findings of the 2017 North At...
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04/20/2018
Toward Intelligent Autonomous Agents for Cyber Defense: Report of the 2017 Workshop by the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) Research Group IST-152-RTG
This report summarizes the discussions and findings of the Workshop on I...
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03/28/2018
Initial Reference Architecture of an Intelligent Autonomous Agent for Cyber Defense
This report describes an initial reference architecture for intelligent ...
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03/20/2018
Challenges and Characteristics of Intelligent Autonomy for Internet of Battle Things in Highly Adversarial Environments
Numerous, artificially intelligent, networked things will populate the b...
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12/25/2017
The Internet of Battle Things
The battlefield of the future will be densely populated by a variety of ...
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12/25/2017
How do you Command an Army of Intelligent Things?
Within a decade, probably less, we will need to find ways to work effect...
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07/22/2016
Predicting Enemy's Actions Improves Commander Decision-Making
The Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency (DARPA) Real-time Adversar...
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07/22/2016
Validation of Information Fusion
We motivate and offer a formal definition of validation as it applies to...
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01/22/2016
Decision Aids for Adversarial Planning in Military Operations: Algorithms, Tools, and Turing-test-like Experimental Validation
Use of intelligent decision aids can help alleviate the challenges of pl...
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01/22/2016
Coalition-based Planning of Military Operations: Adversarial Reasoning Algorithms in an Integrated Decision Aid
Use of knowledge-based planning tools can help alleviate the challenges ...
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12/25/2015